The observation
EMAs and VWAP are context, not entry signals. The question is whether their alignment actually filters lower-timeframe entries — or whether it’s just narrative comfort.
What I’m testing
- Define “aligned” precisely (price vs. VWAP, EMA stack direction, distance).
- On entries taken from other models, record whether confluence was present.
- Compare outcomes: aligned context vs. unaligned context, same entry model.
- If there’s no measurable difference, the filter gets dropped — no sacred cows.
Evidence & observations
Nothing recorded yet. Observation stage.
Status: observation. Confluence has to earn its place or leave the model.